Dubai Real Estate Remains Robust Despite Changing Dynamics

Despite global headwinds, the real-estate sector in Dubai is showing resilient strength as the landscape shifts.

Strong Sales Growth in 2025

For the first nine months of 2025, Dubai registered a 20 % increase in off-plan transactions and a 10 % rise in resale deals — growing unit volumes from roughly 48,000 to about 53,000. Meanwhile, new residential launches stood at approximately 120,000 units, down from about 130,000 in the previous year — a drop of around 7.5 %.

Supply Tightening as Demand Continues

The market is experiencing a supply squeeze. Developers are facing higher land-cost pressures — land prices in Dubai have surged as much as 200–300 % since 2020, making it harder to secure profitable new plots. As supply moderates and demand remains elevated, many segments are seeing price resilience.

A Selective, Sophisticated Market

Industry experts suggest that the market is entering a more discerning phase: success will increasingly depend on factors like location, developer brand strength, and timing. In this evolving environment, developers with strong reputations and prime-site allocations are better positioned to thrive.

Market Projection

As Dubai heads into the final quarter of 2025, the sector appears to be transitioning from rapid growth to stable advancement. The market is no longer purely about high volume and explosive growth, but rather about sustainable demand and quality. For investors and developers, the emphasis is shifting toward strategic projects rather than speculative plays.